Tuesday, August 16, 2016

Past Pluto's Post (III of III)




Past Pluto’s Post
The Plea for Political Plurality

By: Al Spaulding

Part III of III



“There are two passions which have a powerful influence on the affairs of men. These are ambition and avarice; the love of power, and the love of money. Separately, each of these has great force in prompting men to action; but when united in view of the same object, they have in many minds the most violent effects. Place before the eyes of such men a post of honor, that shall be at the same time a place of profit, and they will move heaven and earth to obtain it. The vast number of such places it is that renders the British government so tempestuous. The struggles for them are the true sources of all those factions which are perpetually dividing the nation, distracting its councils, hurrying sometimes into fruitless and mischievous wars, and often compelling a submission to dishonorable terms of peace.
     And of what kind are the men that will strive for this profitable preeminence, through all the bustle of cabal, the heat of contention, the infinite mutual abuse of parties, tearing to pieces the best of characters? It will not be the wise and moderate, the lovers of peace and good order, the men fittest for the trust. It will be the bold and the violent, the men of strong passions and indefatigable activity in their selfish pursuits. These will thrust themselves into your government, and be your rulers."



Myth Matters

     Before we go any further, first ask yourself: what is a wasted vote?



     What is a wasted vote?  



     When might you consider your own vote to have been wasted?

     How would you respond to someone who had told you that you were wasting your vote?

     The most immediate objection to the notion of supporting someone outside the two-party system is that of the 'wasted vote'; a vote outside the two-party system can’t change anything.  Such a vote takes support from people who actually matter.  

     You can’t have your cake and eat it, too.  You can’t urge people of the importance of voting, wax eloquent about its foundational power in a democratic nation, you can’t encourage people their vote matters, but then tell them they’re wasting their vote if they don’t elect Democrat or Republican.  Such critics claim your choices in life make you free, but only if you choose between the options they recognize - otherwise, you are wasting your freedom.

     If your opinion isn't already widely supported, then it isn't worthwhile.  It isn't significant.

     You can have any color you want so long as it’s black.






     So what is a wasted vote?

     A technical definition of a wasted vote is any vote that doesn’t directly elect a candidate.  Any vote for an unsuccessful candidate, even any extra votes past the margin of success are wasted.  In 'First Past the Post' systems there are many wasted votes.  If Candidate X receives 20 votes and Candidate Y 15, there are thus 19 wasted votes (Y’s 15 plus the 4 extra votes past the 16 necessary for X to win).

     By this technical definition, the majority of votes are wasted.

     Let’s look at another example.  Candidate A gets 49 votes, B gets 45, and a third candidate, C, gets 5.  The number of technically wasted votes is 53.

     A counterproposal to the idea of a wasted vote is that the people who voted for Candidate C wasted their vote.  C never had a chance of winning. Indeed, C voters could have chosen B, possibly changing the results of the election.  In this example, A and B voters chastise C voters for wasting their votes.  This an act of popular coercion, peer pressure to discourage voting outside of the duopolistic party system.  This is a suppression of individual beliefs.  This argument bullies-out accurate representation.

     What is a vote, really?  A vote is simply an exercise of preference in a social context.  A vote is an expression of confidence.  You waste your vote when you exercise your choice for something you don’t actually prefer, when you vote for something in which you lack confidence.

     Actually, electoral fraud can also waste your vote, but is less immediately within your influence.

     We only have to vote for “the lesser of two evils” because we have a dissociated, fractured system.  If we were allowed to express our preferences in a righteous and democratic system, our actual beliefs would be better represented.


Fecund Feasibility 

     Perhaps now you are convinced that a two-party system is not in your best interest, nor the interest of any citizen.  You probably already have a good idea of how to move forward.  Let’s state it again for the record.

     To have a more fair political system we require:
A.    Better representation through the electoral system.  No ‘First Past the Post’ voting system.  
B.     Better representation through electoral districts.  No ‘Gerrymandering.’  
C.     Better representation of political candidates.  The media oligopoly is not conducive to (relatively) objective information.  
D.    Better representation of political ethics.  No duopolistic ‘two-party system.’  


     What does this require?
A.    An updated electoral system.  There are multiple alternative voting systems preferable to 'First Past the Post'. 
a.       CGP Grey seems to recommend the ‘Single Transferable Vote.’  
b.      There are groups, like the non-profit Fair Vote, campaigning for alternative voting systems in the United States.  
B.     Don’t allow incumbent politicians to create voting districts.  Independent agencies are a better option.  
C.     Your research.  It’s fine to watch CNN, MSNBC, and FOX for some news, but make the effort to pursue other sources of information.  Interactive media is superior to passive media.  
a.       In academics it is unfathomable to have a basis of one source of information.  It is necessary to have a variety of inputs, preferably as independent from each other as possible.  
D.    Value diversity, engage politically, and vote for third parties or independents.  


     This point of diversity and plurality is, I believe, the crux of the issue.  It seems the current two-party system and its inherent representative shortcomings have allowed the wealthy and powerful to create a system that serves them better than it serves the average person.

     The current wealth gap in the United States is as substantial as it was right before the Great Depression.  

     Don’t the rich and the politicians have a vested, mutual interest to maintain their success?  To achieve financial or political success requires significant intelligence and ability; why is it that the political candidates we’re presented with speak so simply, favoring emotion over logic?  Have demagogues and plutocrats become the deciders in the United States, exactly as the Founding Fathers feared?

     My point being, this level of inequality and disproportionate representation can not and should not be sustained.  With the Founding Fathers as my inspiration, I assert that power, money, and politics are the Devil’s threesome, and parties are the beds in which they lie.

     The Founding Fathers would have wanted nonpartisan elections.  And countries around the world exist without parties.  Still, supporting third parties is a step in the right direction.  What is required is political plurality, not political dichotomy.  Any vote exercised towards political plurality is a message of confidence, a message declaring the need for better representation.


Don’t Pay the Ferryman

     Many political discussions are charged with a sense of immediacy.  Hopefully, I have presented a purposeful argument without falling victim to urgency.  I don’t believe anything terrible will occur in the next election.  You may believe that political plurality is a worthwhile cause, though not practical in the current voting cycle.  I understand that it may take time for a greater diversity of representation to be actualized.  In the meantime, let’s not fall victim to a sense of deadline.  It is important to avoid a reactionary mindset - let’s be proactive.  If we agree that electoral reforms are necessary and the two-party system needs improvement, we can take steps towards a long-term goal.

     One of the greatest actions you can do to initiate change is to bring attention to the options.  Support political plurality as a valid notion and share it in relevant discussions.  Regard with suspicion any entity that seeks to repress variety and expression.

     Who benefits from maintaining the status quo?

     More than anything, eradicating the two-party system requires belief that it is possible.  Remember the injection of ancient Greek political philosophy into the nascent United States.  Think of the Montgomery bus boycotts and Gandhi’s peaceful demonstrations.  These tactics were ludicrous at the time, yet a camaraderie of confidence made it totally possible to fix broken systems peacefully and rationally.  Despite the differences, practical applications can be derived from alien situations.  

     If you are committed to improving the American government, it is necessary to move beyond the two-party system.  Indeed, this discussion has implications for limited systems everywhere.  

     Diversify your portfolio.  

     Are we willing to resign ourselves the inertia of this incumbent duopolistic system? Are we resigned to a political pendulum between party factions, from Bush to Clinton to Bush to Obama?  For real change to be enacted requires more than common dissatisfaction.  It requires actual dissent.  For there to be a change in our environment we have to be willing to change our beliefs and behaviors.  Voting for the same old system will only perpetuate said system.  



     Voting for political plurality is your way of making a change for the better. 



“The basis of our political systems is the right of the people to make and to alter their Constitutions of Government. But the Constitution which at any time exists, till changed by an explicit and authentic act of the whole people, is sacredly obligatory upon all. The very idea of the power and the right of the people to establish Government presupposes the duty of every individual to obey the established Government.
     All obstructions to the execution of the Laws, all combinations and associations, under whatever plausible character, with the real design to direct, control, counteract, or awe the regular deliberation and action of the constituted authorities, are destructive of this fundamental principle, and of fatal tendency. They serve to organize faction, to give it an artificial and extraordinary force; to put, in the place of the delegated will of the nation, the will of a party, often a small but artful and enterprising minority of the community; and, according to the alternate triumphs of different parties, to make the public administration the mirror of the ill-concerted and incongruous projects of faction, rather than the organ of consistent and wholesome plans digested by common counsels, and modified by mutual interests.
     However combinations or associations of the above description may now and then answer popular ends, they are likely, in the course of time and things, to become potent engines, by which cunning, ambitious, and unprincipled men will be enabled to subvert the power of the people, and to usurp for themselves the reins of government; destroying afterwards the very engines, which have lifted them to unjust dominion.”



Further Resources

CGP Grey's breakdown of political problems and possibilities: https://www.youtube.com/playlist?list=PL7679C7ACE93A5638

Options for electoral reform: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Electoral_reform_in_the_United_States

Many political reform ideas are centered around the vote: http://freakonomics.com/podcast/idea-must-die-election-edition/

Most people think the presidential campaign is too long (and want the system to change):  http://cdn.yougov.com/cumulus_uploads/document/ayw7ira9yg/tabs_OPI_primary_20150304.pdf

Alternative voting systems decrease 'wasted votes' and increase voter participation: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Proportional_representation

The USA has the greatest wealth and the greatest inequality:
and

The detrimental effects of 'monoculture' (and lack of diversity) on human-ecological systems:  http://www.ipes-food.org/images/Reports/UniformityToDiversity_FullReport.pdf  




     Thank you for reading.




Tuesday, August 9, 2016

Past Pluto's Post (II of III)




Past Pluto’s Post
The Plea for Political Plurality

By: Al Spaulding

Part II of III



"Among the numerous advantages promised by a well-constructed Union, none deserves to be more accurately developed than its tendency to break and control the violence of faction. The friend of popular governments never finds himself so much alarmed for their character and fate, as when he contemplates their propensity to this dangerous vice.”



Factional Faults   

     We feel like we have poor choices for political candidates.  This is advantageous to a two party system.  It is advantageous to make elections simple for you.   

     Why would a two party system, a “duopoloy,” want to restrict your political options? 

     The candidates more loyal to their party than their constituency are the most viable choices for the party.  The duopoly guarantees this loyalty for itself from candidates, and power over citizens, with First Past the Post (FPTP or FPP) voting systems.  FPTP means voters give a single vote for each political position and whoever receives the most wins the election.  However, during the presidential campaign the United States does not use a system where each vote goes directly towards electing a candidate.  During the presidential primaries and caucuses (when we are trying to decide which individual will represent the entire party) the votes are routed through delegates, party members who can decide whether or not to listen to the voting body.  In addition to that, the final presidential election is routed through the Electoral College; again, other people who are intermediaries between your vote and the outcome of the election.  

     I did not know this until recently, but there is more than one type of voting system.  FPTP is not the only way to hold government elections. What if you could rank your top three choices, instead of just your number one?  This kind of alternative voting system greatly changes political outcomes.  

     There must be some reason the United States uses FPTP, right?  


     Allow me to present Wikipedia’s section on the benefits of FPTP:  

     “The benefits of FPTP are that its concept is very easy to understand, and ballots can be easily counted and processed. Alternative systems such as rank-based voting require far more work or processing power to tabulate results than a single choice.”   


     That’s it.  It is easy.  Easy to understand and easy to count votes.  
     But is it really that simple when party delegates and the Electoral College enter the equation?  

     Furthermore, electoral fraud is occurring at every level of the FPTP voting system.  From the voters, to the voting machines, to the human vote counters, even this supposed benefit isn’t working in our favor as well as we’d like.   

     To be fair, electoral fraud is a potential issue in any democratic election, not only FPTP.  What isn’t an issue in every kind of voting system is 'tactical voting.'  You can probably figure out what this means from the name alone.  Tactical voting is when you pick a candidate not because you consider them the best candidate, but because they are the lesser of two evils and you think they have a significant probability of winning.  Tactical voting is partly why presidential elections are displayed in the news for well over a year, with state primaries occurring for months.  Even the order in which states hold their primaries is controversial.  

    Can you imagine?  Other countries that have moved beyond FPTP don’t have to spend so much effort wondering who is voting for who.  They vote for the candidates they think will best represent them.

     Another self-propagation technique the duopoly system employs to ensure its continued existence is 'gerrymandering.'  Gerrymandering is when incumbent politicians arrange voting districts so their party’s voters make up the majority of the district’s voting bloc, while simultaneously diving up the competition’s into minorities.  It is terribly difficult for opposition party candidates (and almost impossible for third party or independent candidates) to gain a foothold in a gerrymandered system.   

     Once more, this may seem like an inevitable shortcoming of politics, but in reality is ameliorable.  

     There is a video series on YouTube that vividly depicts the issues with FPTP, tactical voting, and gerrymandering.  The creator, CGP Grey, gives lucid insight into the shortcomings of these practices and the benefits of their alternatives.  He makes a compelling argument and I highly recommend you watch the five video series, which can be viewed in half an hour.

     CGP Grey: Politics in the Animal Kingdom




     To fully appreciate my argument of political division and diversity in the context of political institutions, I would designate this video series as mandatory viewing.  CGP Grey deftly explains FPTP, tactical voting, alternative voting systems, gerrymandering, and political representation in general.   

     Both CGP Grey and Wikipedia make it clear that alternative voting systems compared to FPTP can count a longer list of benefits: less/no tactical voting, less/no gerrymandering, fewer/no 'wasted votes', less/no manipulation, less/no bullying of minority parties.  

     I believe the FPTP voting system undermines representation, and thus, the true democratic foundation of our country.  There is no “government of the people, by the people, for the people,” unless we people can freely express our voting rights.  

     The electoral process is inextricably tied to honest representation.  The Founding Fathers knew it, which is why they got so worked up about “taxation without representation.”  The just and virtuous government can only be validated through legitimate representation.   

     The fair representation foundational to an honest democratic process extends beyond the voting public: the diversity of candidates must be represented, as well.  In other words, the information presented to the citizens should not be arbitrarily limited.  American politics has not yet caught up with the internet, the greatest bastion of knowledge ever created.  The vestigial influence of passively consumed media (newspapers, radio, television) still controls how the majority of Americans get their news.  Despite having access to more information than ever, the majority of voters are still being told their options in a traditionally restricted manner.  Conventional news sources inadequately and inaccurately display political options.  Perhaps media have always been susceptible to fad-like behavior, but no conventional news source is fair or accurate in how they discuss politics.  From limited word space to limited airtime, the news has been forced to condense the information it broadcasts.  All news sources are competing for the same thing: your attention.  They have to be as sensationalist as they can get away with (appeal to pathos) while under the guise of a balanced presentation (appeal to ethos).  It may seem anchorwo/men are giving it to you straight, with their expressionless faces and affected speech, but what information and how they choose to exhibit it is a sleight of hand difficult to spot.  News should be an objective representation of reality - it has developed into impassioned entertainment.    

     Ask yourself: why do celebrities hold such prominence in the news?  

     Do news sources report specific political candidates more than others because they hold greater support among viewers?  Do we support certain candidates more because they hold greater support among news sources?  

     Is it true there is no such thing as bad publicity?  

     Which is most likely to attract attention when ‘news’ is framed as entertainment, rational discourse or emotional declarations and outlandishness?   

     Why do political candidates hold debates in arenas?  The kind of arenas usually utilized for music or sport?  How is a screaming fanbase conducive to calm, objective discussion?  


     It is evident that exposure is vital to have a chance in an election.  The cause and effect relationship of media exposure (similar to the cause and effect of how parties choose positions on issues) is probably a two-way street.  It is the limitation of news sources we should be wary towards.  We may feel cosmopolitan in the digital age, but keep in mind there are only six companies responsible for 90% of the media consumed by Americans.  

     Information, wealth, power, ownership.  These things are closely related.  Honesty is among the supreme virtues because it relinquishes power and ownership in favor of truth.  We expect our education institutions to forsake entertainment in pursuit of truth.  It doesn’t seem we have the same expectation of information medium services.  

     Who we vote for and what issues are relevant require significant amounts of information.  We can’t afford to make democratic decisions lightly, especially when there is such a dearth of values.  We need and deserve accurate information to make informed decisions.


Dim Planet

     The two-party system is an inaccurate representation of the political spectrum.  Because here’s the thing: politics is not a spectrum.  Politics is not a gradation along a single axis.  If you believe all political ethics fall somewhere on a line, you have been ill-informed.  

     Let’s look at political stances and relationships through a geometry analogy.   

     A single entity in geometry is a point.  It is one thing in isolation.  Let’s take the Republican Party as our point.  As we have discussed, the Republican Party does not exist alone.  If a separate point, the Democratic Party, is established we then have two points.  The relationship between two points is a line, a one dimensional spectrum: right, left, and a bunch of points in between; shades of red or blue.  Now, let’s throw in a third perspective, a third point, the Libertarian party.  Libertarians aren’t quite Republicans, but they aren’t Democrats, either.  They must be some kind of purple, correct?  If that were the case, then the Libertarians would be the party of the moderates… but they’re not.  They are, let’s assume, equidistant from the Democrats and the Republicans (sharing values with either party), but they are not ‘in line’ with them (having independent values).  They are not between the left or the right.  In geometry this third point creates a plane – you might easily think of this three-way relationship as a triangle.  Red, blue, and yellow.  Instead of speaking in regards to a political spectrum, we should now reference a political landscape, a political palette.   

     Imagine if we had a fourth separate political party, the imaginary Grey Party.  The Grey Party is as far removed from all three previous parties as is the Libertarian Party from the Republicans and Democrats.  These four incongruous points will then form 3-D space, a political sphere if you will, an increasingly accurate depiction of our reality.   

     A demonstration… If there are three issues and you can be ‘for’ or ‘against’ each, then there are eight possible combinations of values.  Two political parties simply don’t cover this variety of beliefs.  

     There's a whole world of possibilities.  For the sake of our collective well-being, we should not limit our conception of representation.  

     “It is not the most intellectual of the species that survives; it is not the strongest that survives; but the species that survives is the one that is able to adapt to and to adjust best to the changing environment in which it finds itself” is a common summary of Darwin’s evolution.  Through his naturalist perspective, success is measured by longevity.  An individual or species can only exist if they can survive despite struggle.  The ability of resiliency determines success in the test of time.  This is a fundamental axiom in biology and ecology.  Resiliency in the face of adversity is what determines success in an individual or ecosystem.  There is a highly predictive determinant of resiliency in a living system: biodiversity.  Biodiversity is the variation within individuals and populations, and between species in an ecosystem.  In terms of resiliency, the more biodiversity the better.  An ecosystem is like a temple and the biodiversities are the pillars with which it is constructed; when time or catastrophe weigh in, having more pillars helps keep the temple standing.  

     While we should be careful when applying scientific principles to familiar circumstances (see: social Darwinism), it is worthwhile to look at the political ‘ecosystem’ in terms of diversity.  Diversity, political plurality, is not only more representative of the eclectic nature of our country, it also fortifies us against the consolidation of power among the few.  

     This is not mere philosophical musing.

     My previous post introduced the advantage of the German political system.  Germany's voting arrangement, Mixed-Member Proportional Representation (MMP), has not been fundamentally altered since it was enacted after World War II.  Such resilience has proven attractive.  In 1996, New Zealand implemented a similar MMP system in their Parliament, the branch of government equivalent to the legislative branches in Germany and the USA, largely because "the MMP system has not shown any great drawbacks in Germany."  Before electoral reform, New Zealand's voting system was almost identical to the USA's: two established parties continuously vying for dominance.  The 1996 reform altered this incumbency.  MMP ousted FPTP, and with it the two-party system.

     That doesn't mean there haven't been growing pains.  Over the past two decades, there has been turmoil as the status quo shifted.  MMP did not provide the kind of political consensus that was expected.  A multi-party system did not disperse factional competition.

     Does New Zealand's increase in the number of parties in Parliament demonstrate any benefit?  Twenty years may be too short a time to provide a holistic assessment of the reform's ramifications.  Still, there stands one result unambiguous: "Parliament has certainly become more diverse and representative of modern New Zealand society."  The rotation of party influence is no longer limited to a duopoly.

     Wikipedia confirms this conclusion. "Prior to the switch to MMP, New Zealand largely had a two party system...  After the 1996 election, there were six political parties...  The transition to MMP has caused disproportionality to fall."  Despite the tumult caused by political reformation, New Zealanders are satisfied with the change.  In 2011, voters strongly affirmed their support for the new system.

     What about the progenitor?  The longevity of Germany's MMP has allowed fuller evaluation.  Again, Wikipedia: "Time has proven that this voting system mainly allows for a proportional distribution of seats, stable governments, change of governments, the possibility of new parties joining the parliament", along with a comparatively capable legislature.  In other words, Germany has uprooted the 'winner takes all' concept.  Unlike the USA, in Germany's MMP it has never occurred that "one party wins an absolute majority of the parliamentary seats on a minority of the popular votes" (again, ACE Network).  Opposition stances are righteously voiced, not suppressed.

     No more need Germans fear a single party taking too much control, doing too much damage.

     Reduced is the threat of overwhelming government.

     Can we boast the same confidence?

     The bipolar nature of American politics is replete with paranoia.  We vote based on the notion of the 'lesser of two evils.'

     Is the 'evilness' of government a function of its lack of government, the number of parties it houses?  If a one-party dictatorship is the most abhorrent form of public control, is a two-party system then half as evil?

     Could a dispersement of parties curtail corruption?

     The reality is much more complex than my one-legged rhetoric indicates.  Yet, that's the point.  We want to simplify the situation to understand it, to address it, but in doing so eliminate salient variables.  Yes, our civic duty requires that we take action against injustice; we must choose between thinking and doing.  Faced with necessity, we can't be hobbled by extraneous inspection.  Nevertheless, narrow perspective is a heedless, rocky approach.  We must balance our charged motivation with due recognition.  Allowing for a variety of considerations encourages an informed choice.

     So we are willing to defend our life and liberty, so we must be willing to pursue the happy intricacies.

     We must respect the perspectives and values of others while still having the courage to voice our own.



“I never submitted the whole system of my opinions to the creed of any party of men whatever in religion, in philosophy, in politics, or in anything else where I was capable of thinking for myself. Such an addiction is the last degradation of a free and moral agent. If I could not go to heaven but with a party, I would not go there at all.”